El Niño theories and forecasts

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Table of contents

Chapter 1: Overview
1.1 Introduction (Version française)
1.1.1 Bref historique du phénomène El Niño
1.1.2 Emergence des théories et prévisions du phénomène El Niño
1.1.3 Un nouveau type d’événement El Niño
1.1.4 Motivations et objectifs de cette thèse
1.2 Introduction (English version)
1.2.1 A brief history of El Niño phenomenon
1.2.2 El Niño theories and forecasts
1.2.3 A new type of El Niño
1.2.4 Motivations and objectives of the thesis
1.3 ENSO theories
1.3.1 Bjerknes theory
1.3.2 The delayed oscillator
1.3.3 Discharge and recharge oscillator theory
1.4 The Central Pacific El Niño (CP El Niño)
1.5 ENSO and the Kelvin wave
1.6 Processes impacting the Kelvin wave in the equatorial Pacific
Chapter 2: The 2002/03 El Niño: Equatorial waves sequence and their impact on Sea Surface Temperature
2.1 Overview
2.2 Article published in Journal Geophysical Research- Oceans
2.3 Thermodynamics associated to the El Niño phenomenon over 1990 – 2011
2.3.1 Introduction
2.3.2 Data and methodologies
2.2.3 Results
Chapter 3: The Central Pacific El Niño Intraseasonal Kelvin wave
3.1 Overview
3.2 Article published in Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans
Chapter 4: On the change in thermocline seasonal variability along the equatorial Pacific from before and after 2000
4.1 Overview
4.2 Draft Article to be submitted to Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans
Chapter 5: Conclusions and Perspectives