The Random Forest

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Table of contents

1 Introduction 
2 Data 
3 Theoretical Models 
3.1 Autoregressive Process
3.2 Example: Tooth Growth in Guinea Pigs
3.3 An Introduction to Random Forests
3.4 A Forest Made of Trees
3.5 The Random Forest
3.6 Tuning
3.7 Variable Importance
3.8 Software
4 Empirical Findings 
4.1 Stationarity
4.2 Autocorrelation
4.3 AR(1)
4.4 Random Forest
4.5 Ad Hoc Linear Model
4.6 Evaluation
5 Conclusion 
6 References 
7 Appendix 
7.1 R Code
7.2 Survey Questionnaire
7.2.1 Industry quarterly questions
7.2.2 Retail quarterly questions
7.2.3 Consumers monthly questions
7.2.4 Condence indicators