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Table of contents
1 Introduction – Synthesis chapter
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Modeling agricultural sector input use behavior and its impact on water resources
1.3 Background and case studies
1.4 Economic model
1.5 Assessing the impact of farming on long-term nitrate contamination in the Upper Rhine aquifer
1.6 Impact of farming on water resources: assessing uncertainty with Monte Carlo simulations in a global change context
1.7 Intensive and extensive margin adjustments to water scarcity in France’s cereal belt
1.8 Trade-offs between irrigated agriculture and groundwater management for alternative water policies in Beauce (France)
1.9 Discussion: modeling agricultures’ use of inputs
1.10 Conclusion
1.11 Perspectives
2 Economic calibrated agricultural supply models to inform water management and policy: a review
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Topics addressed by WPM
2.3 The model
2.4 Incorporating water into the production functions
2.5 Uncertainty and risk
2.6 Spatial modeling scales and the aggregation bias
2.7 Conclusion and research agenda
3 Combining economic and groundwater models for developing long term nitrate concentration scenarios in a large aquifer
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Overview of the hydro-economic modeling chain
3.3 Farm models to assess the evolution of agricultural land use and nitrogen practices
3.4 Calibration of the economic model
3.5 Development of 2015 foresight scenarios
3.6 Simulating the impact of global change scenarios
3.7 Simulating the impact of price-based instruments
3.8 Conclusion and perspectives
4 Impact of farming on water resources: assessing uncertainty with Monte Carlo simulations in a global change context.
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Materials and methods
4.3 Results at different scales on uncertainty and impact assessment
4.4 Discussion on deterministic versus stochastic simulations
4.5 Conclusion
5 Intensive and extensive margin adjustments to water scarcity in France’s cereal belt
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Background
5.3 Model
5.4 Reference allocation
5.5 Simulation
5.6 Conclusion
6 Trade-offs between irrigated agriculture and groundwater level for alternative water policies in Beauce (France)
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Groundwater governance reform in the Beauce region
6.3 Current approaches in hydro-economic modeling
6.4 Model
6.5 Data and calibration
6.6 Design of alternative management scenarios
6.7 Simulation results
6.8 Conclusion
